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, very closely, and i'm obsessed here a little bit watching orange county. florida is going to be razor tight all night. >> i would love geeking out with chuck todd. chuck, thanks. >> paul ryan's home state has fallen to the democrats. >> midwestern firewall is holding for president obama. >> that wisconsin call is such a big deal because it is now just ohio away for the president. >> we've been following florida. want to go back to the drama. >> 2,000 beep remembers going off for all the lawyers already in florida because everybody knew this would be a tight race. >> do they still use beepers down there, do they? >> speaking to obama campaign officials who say that they like what they are seeing right now. >> in the words of one source close to the romney campaign so far this night is stinging. >> it wasn't a very romantic campaign. >> hang on, chuck. hang on, chuck. >> here we go. >> we've got some critical calls. >> yes, we do. >> let's see now, roll them. ohio, president obama. >> brian, there's no what ifs anymore. that's done. >> gone from excited to election. take a moment to tak
% among likely voters. a look at other national polls confirm it's razor tight, maybe even a mirror image of the 2004 showdown between president bush and senator john kerry. we see some movement towards the president. obama leads by seven points, almost four in ten. and he leads by four points in the battleground states, again, though, within the margin of error. the president is holding on to an eight-point advantage among women and that's slightly higher than romney's edge among men. the president's job rating sits at 49%. take a look at these numbers. 67% of likely voters approve of his handling of hurricane sandy. haven't seen numbers like that for this president on a single event, of course, going back to bin laden. and we may be seeing a sandy effect in other numbers. when voters are asked which candidate has better leadership qualities, the president -- more now pick the president. two weeks ago mitt romney led in that question, 44% to 40%. this doesn't mean romney doesn't have some things going for him. he's winning independents, the group the president won in 2008. romney l
poll coming out of ohio, 49-49, razor tight and this was before the final debate. take a moment here to take us through how each side thinks they win the state. >> you know, the joke is there are five -- it's five states within one state. the five ohios. but let me just take you through basically the romney pattern here which is run up the score in coal country. that's what bush did in '04, and win the swing areas of columbus media market, an '04 bush territory. was '08 obama. and win hamilton county. for the president, run up the score in cleveland, cuyahoga county and overperform with working class white guys in the auto belt, if you will, the toledo area, but if you're looking at just one county that may tell us more than anything, david, you sit over here and we're going to take you to hamilton county. look at this. it's as easy of a swing county as it is, bush carried it in '04 by 22,000 votes. obama carried it by 30,000 votes there. it's why mitt romney spent a lot of time in cincinnati this week. >> as hamilton county goes, perhaps ohio goes, so let's turn now to the governor
presidential campaign trail with the race razor tight and election day ten days away. we'll find out how the weather is affecting campaign plans down the wire. also at one time adult film star turned public school teacher goes to court to get her job back. this morning we'll hear her emotional plea to get a second chance. >>> and justin timberlake has only been married a week and already is saying i'm sorry. we'll tell you why. it's all when we get started on a saturday morning right here on "today." for now back to you in washington might have something to do with meet loaf, huh? >> i think so. by the way, i'll see you guys. i'm doing to do "nightly news" from washington tonight in your studio. >> great. >> we'll see you here. thanks so much. >>> all right. weather wise we continue to talk about sandy. it's going to be for several days. >> this is not going to be an in and out kind of storm. this is going to be a come and stay and visit for a while kind of storm. we'll talk about your weekend and the rather scary looking week ahead for halloween. how does it brew such great coffee?
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